popstudies

Levels and changes in fertility in Beirut: a study based on the analyses of birth intervals and birth order statistics

In Greater Beirut, the civil war has had numerous demographic consequences which might have accelerated the normal course of the already well-advanced demographic transition going on in its population. The fertility studies undertaken earlier for Beirut and its suburbs in 1970 and for Beirut city in the mid-1980s were based on conventional measures of fertility such as the crude birth rate (CBR), general fertility rate (GFR), age-specific fertility rates (ASFRs) and total fertility rate (TFR). Of late, it has been realized by demographers that these conventional measures are poor indicators of fertility for a population (as that of Beirut) undergoing rapid fertility transition. For these reasons, the present study investigated the levels and changes in fertility in Beirut by using the information on birth intervals and birth order statistics collected in the study entitled ‘Beirut 1984’ and in its follow-up study in 1992. The greatest advantage in using these methods is that they do not require denominator data and yield fairly reliable estimates of fertility and changes therein, in populations undergoing rapid fertility transition. Cohort and instantaneous parity progression ratios have been computed. The results of this study show that a drastic decline in fertility had taken place in Beirut during the period of civil war. P. Saxena and M. Deeb. (Supported by URB.)

Mortality risk and differentials among pensioners after retirement in the state of Maharashtra, India

Groenewold, G.* and Navaneetham, K., The Projection of Populations: Data Appraisal, Basic Methods and Applications, Population and Development Teaching Text. UNFPA Global Programme of Training in Population and Development, Institute of Social Studies, The Hague; Centre for Development Studies, Trivandrum, 1995.

Kulczycki, A., Abortion policy in post-communist Europe: the conflict in Poland. Population and Development Review, 21 (3), 471-505, 1995.

Kulczycki, A., Potts, M.* and Rosenfield, A.*, Abortion and fertility regulation. The Lancet, 347, 1663-1668, 1996.

Mari Bhat, P. N.*, Navaneetham, K and Rajan, S.I.*, Maternal mortality in India: estimates from a regression model. Studies in Family Planning, 26, 217-232, 1995.

———, Maternal mortality: estimates from an econometric model. In Women’s Health in India: Risk and Vulnerability, M. Das Gupta, L. C. Chen and T.N. Krishnan (Eds.). Bombay: Oxford University Press, 1995.

Puspangadan, K.*, Murugan, G.* and Navaneetham, K., Travel time, user rate and cost of supply: drinking water in rural Kerala, India. Working Paper No. 266, Centre for Development Studies, Trivandrum, India, 1996.

Upadhyay, R.B.* and Saxena P.C., Relationship between migration and development in Uttar Pradesh. In Population and Development in Uttar Pradesh, Kamla Gupta and Arvind Pandey (Eds.), 449-464. Delhi: B.R. Publishing Corporation, 1997.

Unisa, S.*, Saxena P.C., and Bhargava, P.K.*, Differentials in age at marriage in two selected villages of eastern and western Uttar Pradesh. In Population and Development in Uttar Pradesh, Kamla Gupta and Arvind Pandey (Eds.), 185-198. Delhi: B.R. Publishing Corporation, 1997.

Kulczycki, A., Demographic research and abortion policy: the limits of statistics. International Union for the Scientific Study of Population Seminar on the Socio-Cultural and Political Aspects of Abortion from an Anthropological Perspective, Trivandrum, India, March 1996.

———, Changing fertility patterns in Lebanon and the Middle East: the role of family planning practice. Proceedings of the International Conference on Population, Health and Environment in the Arab Region, Beirut, Lebanon, May 29-30, 1997.

———, Recent trends and patterns of Lebanese migration: evidence from the 1996 Population and Housing Survey. Proceedings of the International Conference on Population, Health and Environment in the Arab Region, Beirut, Lebanon, 1997.

Moudallal, N. and Navaneetham, K., Determinants of gynecological morbidities in Beirut, Lebanon. Proceedings of the Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America 1997, 170-171, Washington D.C., USA, March 27-29, 1997.

———, Contraceptive use dynamics and gynecological morbidities in Lebanon: evidence from family planning clinic data, Conference on Health Issues in the Middle East, Ann Arbor, USA, March 21-22, 1997.

Navaneetham, K. and Saxena, P.C., Gender and child mortality in Egypt: evidence from DHS data. Regional Arab Population Conference, International Union for the Scientific Study of the Population, Cairo, Egypt, December 8-12, 1996.

———, Levels, trends and differentials of fertility and mortality in Lebanon: evidence from the 1996 Population and Housing Survey. Proceedings of the International Conference on Population Health and Environment in the Arab Region, Beirut, Lebanon, May 29-30, 1997.

Saxena, P. C. and Aoun, H. Y., Maternal role incompatibility and fertility: the hypothesis re-examined (A study based on Lebanese community). Proceedings of the Sixth International Interdisciplinary Congress on Women, University of Adelaide, Australia, April 21-26, 1996.

Saxena, P.C., Deeb, M. and Melhem, N., Fertility transition in Beirut during war time: analysis of birth interval statistics based on two household surveys, 1983 and 1992. Proceedings of the Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America 1997, 156-157, Washington D.C., USA, March 27-29, 1997.

Saxena, P.C. and El-Eter, I.A., Determinants of age at first marriage of females in Sudan—a study based on DHS data. Proceedings of the Arab Regional Population Conference, Cairo, Egypt, December 8-12, 1996.

———, A comparative study of factors affecting contraceptive use and method choice in selected Arab countries. Proceedings of the International Conference on Population, Health and Environment in the Arab Region, Beirut, Lebanon, May 29-30, 1997.

Baltagi, N. J., A comparative study of socio-economic and demographic characteristics of female-headed households in rural and urban Sudan—A study based on DHS data (1996). Advisor: P.C. Saxena.

Boulghourjian, C. M., Psyc, health, and economic aspects of an elderly Armenian population in Lebanon (1997). Advisor: K. Navaneetham.

Fakha, H. A., Occupational mobility among residents in Beirut (1996). Advisor: I. Nuwayhid.

Kodeih, A. M., Prevalence and determinants of hypertension among adults residing along the demarcation line in Beirut (1997). Advisor: K. H. Shaar.

Kteili, L. F., Household structure in Beirut: dimensions, dynamics and health (1997). Advisor: P.C. Saxena. Co-advisor: M. Deeb.

Moudallal, N. S., Determinants of contraceptive use, dynamics and gynecological morbidities in Beirut, Lebanon: a study based on family planning clinics data (1996). Advisor: K. Navaneetham.

Obeid, A. I., Determinants of perinatal mortality at the American University of Beirut Medical Center during 1995 (1996). Advisor: P.C. Saxena. Co-advisors: H. Kaspar and M. Seoud.

Samaha, R. A., The effect of widowhood on mortality in Beirut: a cohort study (1997). Advisor: P.C. Saxena. Co-advisor: M. Deeb.

Sleem, N. I., Women’s perception of power and health: evidence from a village in Lebanon (1997). Advisor: K. Navaneetham.

Tannir, D. Z., Prevalence and determinants of psychological states among adolescents with hearing and visual impairments in Beirut (1997). Advisor: K. H. Shaar.